Pre-tourney Rankings
Atlantic Sun
2017-18


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
127 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0%   20 - 11 12 - 2 20 - 11 12 - 2 +2.2      +1.1 127 +1.1 127 74.4 55 -0.8 180 +2.9 1
169 Lipscomb 100.0%   15   20 - 9 10 - 4 20 - 9 10 - 4 +0.1      0.0 169 0.0 169 83.5 6 +3.3 120 -2.0 2
255 NJIT 0.0%   12 - 16 7 - 7 12 - 16 7 - 7 -5.8      -2.9 255 -2.9 255 67.0 230 -7.0 276 -7.0 5
294 North Florida 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 7 11 - 19 7 - 7 -7.9      -3.9 294 -3.9 294 81.7 9 -5.3 249 -6.7 4
307 Kennesaw St. 0.0%   8 - 20 6 - 8 8 - 20 6 - 8 -8.9      -4.4 307 -4.4 307 69.8 161 -9.7 310 -8.4 6
319 Stetson 0.0%   8 - 20 4 - 10 8 - 20 4 - 10 -9.7      -4.8 319 -4.8 319 72.2 95 -10.5 318 -12.4 7
320 Jacksonville 0.0%   11 - 18 8 - 6 11 - 18 8 - 6 -9.8      -4.9 320 -4.9 320 69.8 162 -8.4 296 -4.5 3
337 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   3 - 25 2 - 12 3 - 25 2 - 12 -13.8      -6.9 337 -6.9 337 71.0 122 -16.3 341 -16.7 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Florida Gulf Coast 1.0 100.0
Lipscomb 2.0 100.0
NJIT 4.0 100.0
North Florida 4.0 100.0
Kennesaw St. 6.0 100.0
Stetson 7.0 100.0
Jacksonville 3.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Florida Gulf Coast 12 - 2 100.0
Lipscomb 10 - 4 100.0
NJIT 7 - 7 100.0
North Florida 7 - 7 100.0
Kennesaw St. 6 - 8 100.0
Stetson 4 - 10 100.0
Jacksonville 8 - 6 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 2 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida Gulf Coast 100.0% 100.0
Lipscomb
NJIT
North Florida
Kennesaw St.
Stetson
Jacksonville
South Carolina Upstate


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lipscomb 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.3 22.7 69.2 7.7
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 100.0% 0.1% 100.0% 4.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 4.4% 0.0 95.6 4.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0